"I gave 'em a sword. And they stuck it in, and they twisted it with relish. And I guess if I had been in their position, I'd have done the same thing." -Richard M. Nixon
My opinion on the Coalition coming apart is really of no consequence since I really don't know much about other than what I am reading here, but it seems like it's already coming apart at the seems. The mistakes and problems it's made in the past seem very fresh to everyone who witnessed them and as Simon stated the leadership fighting with one another (ICly I guess) doesn't help the case. It seems that (judging from what I get here) the GC is limping on. Now while I can't say that TNO could never be defeated I think that a guerilla alliance would have a much better chance than a defunct government with outposts, bases, and planets ready to be attacked.
Theres one big problem with this rebellion thing the way everybodys going after it. Sure everybodys on board and thats great. But it can't be like my main characters in TNO and I have a secondary character in the rebellion. The lightside will never actually be strong unless it actually is peoples primary focus. Like we can't have a group made up of park and wes' secondary characters. We need people like Dolash and Jan and Corise whose main character is in the lightside.